English Premier League, Matchday 8, Betting Preview

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The English Premier League is back and we take a look at 4 of the weekend matches from a betting perspective.

 

Liverpool v Manchester Unitedclick here to bet

The big match of the weekend is the early kick-off on Saturday and pits 7th place Liverpool against 2nd place Manchester United.

Liverpool currently sit 7 points behind United on 12 points from their 7 matches and before the break they drew 1-1 away with Newcastle.  This will be their 4th home match and they are yet to taste defeat at Anfield taking 7 points from a possible 9.

United have only dropped 2 points all season and they are only behind Manchester City on goal difference at the top of the table.  They beat Crystal Palace 4-0 at home in their last start and they have only dropped 2 points on the road beating Southampton and Swansea and drawing to Stoke.

This fixture finished 0-0 last season and the teams played to a 1-1 draw at Old Trafford.

 

Betting

Liverpool 16/10

Draw 24/10

Manchester United 18/10

 

Suggested bet:  Manchester United win at 18/10.

United have looked the business this season and Liverpool’s defence has looked suspect when tested.  I think the away team can grab 3 points here.

 

 

Manchester City v Stokeclick here to bet

Manchester City go into this weekend top of the table on 19 points from their 7 matches and they have won their last 5 games on the trot, most recently beating Chelsea 1-0 away.  Their recent home form has been prolific with 5-0 victories over Palace and Liverpool having dropped the only points of the season at home to Everton in their first home match.

Stoke are 13th on the table with 8 points from their 7 matches and they did beat Southampton 2-1 at home before the break to break a 4 match streak without a victory.  They have only taken 1 point from 9 on the road.

Stoke managed to hold Manchester City to a 0-0 draw here last season with City winning the reverse fixture 4-1 at Stoke.

 

Betting

Manchester City 1/7

Draw 8/1

Stoke 18/1

 

Suggested bet:  Over 3.5 goals at 15/20.

Stoke have a better record than most away to Manchester City having won twice here in the last 3 years but in between that City beat them 4-0 and I cannot see them holding a Manchester City side that has looked more impressive than they have in years.  I am looking for 4 goals or more in the game, most likely all of them scored by City.

 

 

Watford v Arsenalclick here to bet

Saturday’s late kick-off sees 8th placed Watford playing 5th placed Arsenal.

Watford go into the weekend on 12 points from their 7 matches and most recently drew 2-2 away with West Brom.  All 3 victories have come on the road though and they have yet to win at home taking just 2 points from 9 starts including a 6-0 hammering against Manchester City.

The Gunners have recovered from a slow start to the season to sit on 13 points, 6 behind the log leaders going into the weekend. They have taken 10 points from a possible 12 in their last 4 fixtures and last time out beat Brighton 2-0 at home.  Arsenal are yet to win on the road this season taking just 1 point from 9 on offer and they are still to score a goal away from the Emirates.

Arsenal won this fixture 3-1 last season with Watford winning away 2-1 in the reverse.

 

Betting

Watford 38/10

Draw 13/4

Arsenal 7/10

 

Suggested bet:  Both teams to score, NO, at 12/10.

This bet looks a bit of value and would have arrived in the last 6 Arsenal League matches.

 

Southampton v Newcastle Unitedclick here to bet

Our featured Sunday match sees 12th placed Southampton hosting 9th placed Newcastle United.

Southampton are on 8 points from their 7 matches and they have lost 3 of their last 4 games, taking just 3 points from the 12 on offer.  They went down 2-1 away to Stoke in their last start and have lost low scoring home games to Manchester United and Watford in their last 2 home starts.

Newcastle sit 2 points above Southampton with 10 points and last time out took a point at home to Liverpool when they drew 1-1.  They have lost 2 games and won 1 on the road with all 3 score lines being 1-0 margins.

Southampton won this fixture 3-1 last season and the sides drew 2-2 at Newcastle.

 

Betting

Southampton 17/20

Draw 51/20

Newcastle 69/20

 

Suggested bet:  Southampton win at 17/20.

I took a close look at the exotic markets but while Newcastle’s away form suggests a low scoring game the head-to-head encounters between these sides at Southampton have had goals and perhaps the most glaring stat of all is that Southampton have won the last 4 matches they have hosted against Newcastle and that is where my money is going.

 

 

Note:  Prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change

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