Stage 15 of the 2017 TDF takes the riders from Laissac-Severac-l’Eglise to Le Puy-en-Velay a distance of 189.5km and the hilly terrain makes it perfect for a strong breakaway.
Stage 14 went as we predicted and Michael Matthews showed that without Sagan in the race he is almost unstoppable in a steep sprint. What few would have predicted was the Yellow Jersey moving from Aru to Froome though as the former got caught out of position in the closing kilometers and ended up losing almost half a minute on the shirt climb. Matthews made small inroads into the Green Jersey which sits firmly on Kittels back and barring unfortunate circumstance will do so until Paris.
We don’t have to wait long for the 1st of 2 Cat 1 climbs and that should ensure a strong break gets away. With Froome back in Yellow Team Sky may be content to let it run and a lot will depend on whether any of the fringe GC riders or White Jersey contenders get into the break. The odds favour the breakaway staying away as it is not clear who will chase given the final climb summits some 30km from the end. That being said if any of the GC men show weakness early there would be a battle from the start and all eyes will be on Aru to see if yesterday was about more than just positioning and that he has bad legs.
Betting – Click Here to bet
Van Avermaet 22/1
28/1 and better the balance, prices correct at the time of posting but subject to change
Win – Van Avermaet at 22/1
As the betting suggests this stage is wide open and strong sprinters like Van Avermaet and Matthews are not without chances if they can get into the break and hold on over the climbs. Van Avermaet is climbing very well and I reckon there is a strong chance he contests the finish which is likely to come down to a small group of breakaway contenders.
Match Bet – Bardet over Aru at 13/20
I am expecting Bardet to send men into the break and suspect he will try and blow the race open on the final climb. I am not convinced that Aru isn’t struggling and will have a solid bet on Bardet.
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