Champions League Last 16 Preview, Tuesday 12 March


Let’s start with a look at the outright betting where Manchester City are favourites at 49/20 with Barcelona tucked in behind them at 77/20.  You can get 31/4 about Atletico Madrid, 37/4 Manchester United and Bayern Munich at 39/4 are the only other sides quoted under 10/1 – click here for outright betting.


Juventus v Atletico Madrid – click here to bet

Juventus have plenty of work to do to progress to the quarter-finals after they lost the first leg 2-0 in Madrid.  They have won 2 of their group matches at home but did lose 2-1 to Manchester United in Italy.  They continue to go very well domestically having won their last 5 League matches.  Atletico Madrid have played on the road 3 times in Europe this season, winning 1, losing 1 and drawing 1, but the loss was a 4-0 demolition in Dortmund and anything similar here would see them tumble out.  Atletico have not conceded a goal in their last 4 European fixtures and they have won their last 5 matches in all competitions, all 5 of those games have had 2 goals or less in them with just 1 team finding the back of the net.

Suggested bet:  Handicap, Juventus (-1), the draw at 5/2

I think this will be a very tight and potentially low scoring game, Juventus may have a slight edge at home, but I am not expecting them to progress and for this bet to arrive they need to win by 1 goal exactly.


Manchester City v Schalkeclick here to bet

Manchester were given a stern test away at Schalke winning 3-2 in the end.  They lost their opening home game of the group campaign to Lyon, but then won their next 2 matches at home against Shakhtar Donetsk and Hoffenheim.  They are going well domestically and have once again hit the front of the EPL.  Schalke won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 of their group matches on the road and the loss came at FC Porto by 3 goals to 1.  They are in poor form domestically and have only taken 1 point from their last 5 League games.

Suggested bet:  First Half Totals, Over 1.5 Goals at 19/20

Expect Manchester City to come out firing with the intention of putting this tie to bed early and with Schalke forced to press forward, I think we will see goals most likely from the home team.


Note:  Prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change