English Premier League Preview, Week 11


Chelsea and Liverpool start the ball rolling in Week 11 of English Premier League action on Saturday whilst later in the day Arsenal go to Swansea and Crystal Palace host Manchester United

Heading into the weekend Manchester City remain top of the table but only due to a slightly better goal difference than Arsenal whilst West Ham and Manchester United are a further two points back. City remain favourites to win the title but their price has drifted to 9/10 whilst Arsenal have come into 7/4, the shortest price they have been since the season started. Manchester United can be backed at 23/4 and if you fancy West Ham can hang around all season you will no doubt be interested in odds of 229/1. We also have the latest odds without the big six, for teams to be relegated, to finish rock bottom as well as the leading goal scorer.

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Let’s take a look at selected matches from this weekend’s coupon.

Saturday, Chelsea v Liverpool

Beaten in the league at West Ham last weekend and then knocked out of the Capital One Cup in midweek, Chelsea’s season goes from bad to worse. They have lost five of ten league games and 19 goals have been conceded, the same number as relegation favourites Sunderland. Jose Mourinho continues to find new ways to be upset the authorities after being sent to the stands last week and one wonders how long this can go on.

Liverpool played out a third successive draw when they were pegged back by Southampton at Anfield last weekend and they now return to London where Jurgen Klopp came away from Spurs with a 0-0 draw in what was his first game in charge. Liverpool are in ninth spot in the standings and the gap to a top four position now stands at six points.

Klopp is still getting to grips with this Liverpool squad but whilst they haven’t overly impressed in the two league games since he took over, he will relish this trip to Stamford Bridge and we think his team can avoid defeat.

Pick: Double Chance Draw/Liverpool at 15/20

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Saturday, Swansea v Arsenal

Swansea can be found in mid-table and although they were winners at Villa last weekend, they haven’t been seen at their best since they beat Manchester United here at the end of August.

Arsenal were on the wrong end of a shock result in the Capital One Cup in midweek when they were beaten 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday. They did give the bulk of their regular starters a break given their schedule over the coming weeks includes some huge games and I wouldn’t have thought too much sleep will have been lost following that defeat. The Gunners are now level on points with Manchester City after four straight league wins and they have scored eight goals in their last two road trips, winning at Leicester 5-2 and Watford 3-0.

Alexis Sanchez was one of those rested in midweek, he has scored six goals in the four game winning streak in the league, enough to earn him the vote to open the scoring here.

Pick: First goalscorer Alexis Sanchez at 69/20

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Elsewhere on Saturday Manchester City are the shortest price on the weekend coupon at 3/10 to beat Norwich whilst third place West Ham take an impressive away record to Watford where they are attractively priced at 2/1 to continue their dazzling form.

Of the teams in the top four, that leaves us with Manchester United who head to the Selhurst Park.


Saturday, Crystal Palace v Manchester United

You never quite know what you are going to get from Palace who have won five and lost five. The current top three, City, Arsenal and West Ham have all won at this ground this season but Palace can be a handful for anyone on their day.

Last week’s Manchester derby hardly set the pulse racing as United and City played out a 0-0 draw but the previous six league games United had been involved in all saw at least three goals scored. United need a win to keep the top two in range and they may well oblige at odds a shade better than even money.

Pick: United to win at 11/10

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Sunday’s action starts at Goodison Park where Everton will be a popular choice with favourite backers to beat Sunderland but it’s the second of the day’s matches that we are more interested in.


Sunday, Southampton v Bournemouth

Southampton have lost just one of their last eight in the league and whilst they haven’t climbed as high in the standings as they did last season, they have been good to watch. That’s especially true in home games where the average total goals scored is just under four per game.

Bournemouth make the journey along the coast for a game their fans will have been looking forward to since the fixtures were released. There are problems though as their defence has conceded five goals in each of the last two league games, away at Manchester City and then at home to Spurs. That’s far from ideal form to bring into a derby but Bournemouth will have expected the odd hiding after winning promotion from the Championship and their style of football is likely to remain easy on the eye.

Bournemouth don’t park the bus and Southampton home games have high on goals so with that in mind, over 2.5 goals looks to have plenty going for it here.

Pick: Over 2.5 total goals at 15/20

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