Italy v New Zealand, International Rugby Preview

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Italy host New Zealand at the Olympic Stadium in Rome on Saturday and bookmakers expect a wounded All Blacks side to bounce back strongly.

Italy found Australia too strong for them last week losing by 19 points despite a strong start which saw them dominate the opening quarter.  They had previously seen off Georgia by 11 points at home but were hammered in early November 7-54 against Ireland in Chicago.  Italy lost all 3 of their home matches in the Six Nations.

New Zealand suffered their second defeat of the year when they lost 16-9 to Ireland in a thrilling encounter in Dublin last week.  They had previously come from behind to beat England 16-15 in a thriller at Twickenham.  The loss to Ireland broke a run of 9 consecutive victories on the road for New Zealand.

New Zealand have won all 6 of their matches in Italy and most of them by massive margins, including beating them by 58 points in 2016.  The closest victory that has ever come was a 14 point defeat in 2009.

 

Betting – click here to bet

Italy 22/1

Draw 50/1

New Zealand 1/100

 

Handicap

Italy +32.5 at 9/10

New Zealand -32.5 at 9/10

 

Suggested bet:  Alternative Winning Margin, New Zealand by 31-40 points at 33/10.

The handicap for this game looks fairly well set but I do expect something of a New Zealand backlash after the Ireland defeat and when the game opens up, I think they will pull clear to win easily, hopefully by between 30 and 40 points.

 

Note:  Prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change

 

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