Six Nations Round 5 Preview

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The 2019 Six Nations draws to a thrilling end this weekend with three teams still in with mathematical chances of winning the title.  We take a look at all 3 matches from a betting angle.

Let’s start with a look at the outright betting where Wales are now 15/20 favourites ahead of England who are 12/10 and Ireland, the rank outsider of the trio, at 14/1 – click here for outright betting

 

Italy v France – click here to bet

This is the only match which will have no bearing on the title and Italy have once again had a disappointing campaign, losing all 4 of their matches.  They did beat the handicap in their first 3 games, but were badly beaten at Twickenham on the weekend, losing 57-14.

France went down by 12 points to Ireland in Dublin on the weekend, but that score line flattered them as they scored a couple of late tries.  They were dominated throughout the match although credit must go to their defence for keeping Ireland out for long periods.  France’s only win in the Six Nations came at home against Scotland and they were badly beaten by England at Twickenham in their only other away match to date.

France have won their last 2 away matches in Italy by 22 and 29 points.

 

Betting

Italy 33/10

Draw 30/1

France 2/7

 

Handicap

Italy +9.5 at 9/10

France -9.5 at 9/10

 

Suggested bet:  Handicap, Italy +9.5 at 9/10

Italy have proven to be competitive at home and against a French side which really looks in trouble, I am not ruling out a home victory here but for now I will take the conservative handicap play.

 

 

Wales v Ireland click here to bet

Wales currently top the table with 4 wins in their 4 starts and a victory over Ireland would ensure they win the Six Nations and collect the Grand Slam.  They have had to work hard for victory in all 4 of their games with their biggest winning margin 11 points against Italy in Rome.  They beat Scotland 18-11 away last weekend and in their only other home game defeated England 21-13 in Cardiff.

Ireland would need to beat Wales and hope England fail to beat Scotland if they are to win the Six Nations title, but it looks likely that their defeat to England in Dublin in Round 1 will prove their undoing.  They have subsequently won 3 in a row including beating France by 12 on the weekend in Ireland and their only away game to date was a 9 point win over Scotland in Edinburgh.

Ireland have won 3 of the last 6 matches they have played in Cardiff, but last time the sides met here it was Wales who won 22-9.

 

Betting

Wales 8/10

Draw 25/1

Ireland 11/10

 

Handicap

Wales -1.5 at 9/10

Ireland +1.5 at 9/10

 

Suggested bet:  Wales win at 8/10

This should be an incredibly hard fought tight affair, but I think Wales will be the more focused of the sides with the Grand Slam up for grabs.

 

England v Scotlandclick here to bet

England are just a point behind Wales on the table despite having lost one of their 4 matches.  They will, however, require Wales to slip up against Ireland as if Wales beat Ireland they get 3 bonus points for winning the Grand Slam.  England have won both their home matches comfortably, beating Italy by 43 points and France by 36 and their only defeat came on the road against Wales in Cardiff.

Scotland won their opening encounter by 13 points against Italy, a more comfortable win than the score line suggests.  They have failed to kick on though and have been hampered by injuries and they lost their next 3 games including a 27-10 defeat away in France and last week they went down 18-11 against Wales at home.  England have not lost at home to Scotland since 1983 and when the sides last met here in 2017, they won 61-21.

 

Betting

England 1/14

Draw 40/1

Scotland 9/1

 

Handicap

England -18.5 at 9/10

Scotland +18.5 at 9/10

 

Suggested bet:  Handicap, England (-18.5) at 9/10

Scotland have been hard hit by injuries and though England are also missing a couple of players they have more depth.  The chances are good that the Six Nations will be decided by the time this match takes place, but either way I expect England to pile on the points against the Scots.

 

Note:  Prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change

 

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