Six Nations Rugby Round 2, Betting Preview

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Week 2 of the Six Nations gets going this weekend and we take a look at all 3 matches from a betting angle.

 

Ireland v Italy– click here to bet

Ireland have shortened from 18/10 to 14/10 in the outright betting – click here after their incredible injury time win over France away last week.  There may well be some concern in the camp about their failure to score a try but that will no doubt be rectified this weekend as they look to pile on the points against Italy.  Ireland won both home matches in the Six Nations last season against France and England and both were low scoring affairs with just a single try in each match.

Italy showed some early fight last week against England but they were eventually blown away 46-15 at home.  In last season’s Six Nations they lost both their away games, going down by 29 points to Scotland and by 21 points to England.

Ireland have won all of their Six Nation home games against Italy and the last 3 have been by margins of 43, 39 and 32 points.

Betting

Ireland 1/100

Draw 50/1

Italy 18/1

Handicap

Ireland -33.5 at 9/10

Italy +33.5 at 9/10

Suggested bet: Winning margin spread, Ireland by 31-35 points at 11/2.

The handicap of 33.5 points looks about right and has moved out since the opening call in the late 20’s.  I have no firm views on the handicap and will take a speculative play that the score finishes within a couple of points of the cap.

 

England v Walesclick here to bet

England remain the title favourites at 9/10 after a 31 point victory away to Italy last week.  They played 3 home games in last year’s Six Nations comfortably beating Scotland and Italy and getting pushed to within 3 points by France.

Wales started last week’s opener as narrow under-dogs against Scotland but a convincing 34-7 win has seen the outright odds shortened from 14/1 to 7/1.  In last season’s Six Nations they played 3 away games beating Italy but losing to Scotland and France although they did push France to within 2 points in Paris.  Wales have won 2 of their last 5 Six Nations matches at Twickenham but England have won the last 2 years by margins of 4 and 11 points respectively.

Betting

England 1/6

Draw 33/1

Wales 4/1

Handicap

England -12.5 at 9/10

Wales +12.5 at 9/10

Suggested bet:  Handicap, Wales +12.5 at 9/10.

This Welsh team really impressed me last week and despite England’s big margin of victory over Italy, I think they were somewhat flattered by the result.  The home team should win this but I think it is going to be close.

 

Scotland v Franceclick here to bet

Scotland hosts France in Sunday’s match which is the final one of week 2.  They will be looking to bounce back from a very disappointing 24 point defeat away at Wales.  Much was expected of this Scottish team in this year’s tournament but they have drifted from their opening quote of 9/1 out to 50/1 to win the title.  Scotland won all 3 home matches in last season’s Six Nations beating Italy, Wales and Ireland.

France came so close to beating Ireland last week only to be heart broken by Johnny Sexton’s drop goal after the hooter.  Their home defeat has seen their outright price go up from 16/1 to 60/1 and it is fair to say that the loser of this game will play no part in the business end of this tournament.

France played 3 away games in last season’s Six Nations beating Italy but losing to Ireland and England but both games were close with the Irish margin defeat by 10 points and at Twickenham, France only lost by 3.

Scotland beat France 29-18 in 2016 when they last met at Murrayfield and that broke a run of 4 successive French wins on the road.

Betting

Scotland 5/10

Draw 25/1

France 16/10

Handicap

Scotland -5.5 at 9/10

France +5.5 at 9/10

Suggested bet:  Handicap, France +5.5 at 9/10.

I think the Scottish confidence will have taken a knock last week and I can see this French team, who were quite impressive at times against Ireland, pushing them all the way.

 

Note:  Prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change

 

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