Super Rugby Preview, Saturday 18 May

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We take a look at three of the Super Rugby matches taking place on Saturday and suggest a bet in each game.

Blues v Chiefsclick here to bet

Blues and Chiefs are both struggling this season and you can get 11/1 the Blues and 12/1 the Chiefs to make the playoffs – click here for outright betting.

The Blues looked quite impressive after Round 8 having won 4 games in a row, but they subsequently lost 4 on the trot going down by 10 points to the Hurricanes in Auckland last week.  They have won 4 out of 6 matches at home, but have lost to the Crusaders and Hurricanes and only beaten the Highlanders as far as New Zealand opposition goes.

They face a Chiefs side that is unbeaten in its last 4 having won 3 and drawn 1.  Last week the Chiefs came from behind to beat the Sharks 29-23 in Hamilton.  The Chiefs have won 2 out of 6 games on the road and they have lost against the Hurricanes and Crusaders and drew the other New Zealand Derby on the road against the Highlanders.

The Chiefs are unbeaten in their last 7 matches away to the Blues, winning 6 and drawing 1.  All of those victories have been by 12 points or less

Handicap

Blues -4.5 at 9/10

Chiefs +4.5 at 9/10

Suggested Bet:  Chiefs win by under 12.5 points at 28/10

I don’t have a lot of faith in this Blues side and Chiefs do seem to be playing better rugby.  I am backing the Chiefs to continue their excellent record away to the Blues and I am hoping the run of narrow victories continues.

 

Reds v Waratahsclick here to bet

The Reds are 11/1 to win the Australian Conference with the Waratahs just behind them in the betting at 12/1 – click here for outright markets.

The Reds went down by 6 points away to the Rebels last week, but prior to that they had beaten the Sunwolves also by 6 points at home.  They have won 3 out of 5 games at home and as far as the Australian Derbies go they beat the Brumbies in Brisbane and lost to the Rebels.

The Waratahs have lost 3 games in a row, but were particularly disappointed to lose to the Lions last week by a single point in Johannesburg in a game in which they had every chance to win.  Their away form has let them down since an opening 1 point win over the Sunwolves and they have lost 4 games in a row on their travels.  All 4 losses have been tight though and by less than 13 points.

The Waratahs have dominated this fixture in recent years winning the last 5 matches they have played in Brisbane.

Handicap

Reds +0.5 at 9/10

Waratahs -0.5 at 9/10

Suggested Bet:  Reds win at 1/1

The Waratahs have had to travel back from South Africa and I think that they will be quite despondent about the fact that they didn’t get a win on tour.  This Reds side has looked decent at times this season and I think they can halt the Waratahs run of wins in Brisbane.

 

Stormers v Crusadersclick here to bet

The Stormers are coming off a bye having lost by 5 points away to the Jaguares in their last start.  They have won 3 out of 4 games at home, losing only to the Brumbies, but the Crusaders will be their first New Zealand opposition they have hosted this season.  Stormers home games have averaged just 41 points each.

The Crusaders crushed the Bulls at Loftus last week winning 45-13.  They have only lost once all season and that was away to the Waratahs and the Crusaders have an excellent record in South Africa having won their last 5 matches on the trot.  The Crusaders have won on their last 3 visits to Newlands and all 3 games have been low scoring affairs and none of them have reached 40 points in total.

Handicap

Stormers +12.5

Crusaders -12.5

Suggested Bet:  Handicap, Stormers (+12.5) at 9/10

It is always a tough call going against the Crusaders, but I do think that the Stormers at home will be able to play the sort of game that can keep the Crusaders from cutting loose.  I would be surprised if the home team won, but I do think they can stay within the handicap.

Note:  Prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change

 

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