The Dubai Desert Classic 2018, Betting Preview

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The Emirates Golf Club in Dubai is the venue for this weeks European Tour event the star studded Dubai Desert Classic and we take a look at the tournament from a betting perspective.

This par 72 layout favours the longer hitters off the tee with accuracy less important when looking back at recent winners.   I must admit that I am disappointed that Dustin Johnson isn’t starting this week as I feel he would have been course suited.  Wind tends to play a role on this exposed course and accurate iron play is also a big plus if you are looking to contend for the win.

The field is a high quality one with last year’s champion Sergio Garcia back to defend and he is joined by the likes of the Abu Dhabi champion Tommy Fleetwood and an ever improving Rory Mcilroy.

 

Past Winners

2017 – Sergio Garcia – 19

2016 – Danny Willett -19

2015 – Rory McIlroy -22

2014 – Stephen Gallacher -16

2013 – Stephen Gallacher -22

 

Betting

Mcilroy 9/2

Garcia 8/1

Stenson 11/1

Fleetwood 11/1

Fitzpatrick 18/1

Hatton 22/1

Grace 22/1

 

25/1 and better the balance, prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change

 

Selections

This is a Tournament where the cream tend to rise to the top so I am going to be focusing towards the top of the betting boards for my selections.

 

Sergio Garcia win only at 8/1

The defending champion showed that he is in good nick with a victory in Singapore on the weekend.  Interestingly enough his previous course form before last year’s victory was poor but with a major win in the bag last season I am expecting Garcia to kick on and have a great year.

 

Branden Grace each way at 22/1

Grace is the first of two South Africans in my staking plan this week and while he doesn’t have any course form to speak of he has played well in the desert on many occasions and has opened the year with a second in the South African Open and a top 15 last week.  It has always puzzled me why he hasn’t gone well here and I do expect a big show in this week.

 

Thomas Pieters each way at 25/1

Pieters faded to finish 5th last week and his best showing at this course was top 25 last season.  He has serious length off the tee and his game should be suited to this course and I am expecting a big run this week and would not be surprised if he puts the disappointment of not contending down the stretch last week to bed.

 

Dylan Frittelli each way at 55/1

My second South African is my biggest price selection of the week. He makes his course debut something he has shown previously does not hinder him.  He has been a bit disappointing at the start of 2018 with a couple of top 20’s in successive weeks but his game should be well suited to this test and at 55/1 I am happy to have him on board.

 

Click here to bet on the Dubai Desert Classic

 

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