The first of the World Cup quarter-finals takes place on Friday evening when Uruguay take on France at the Kizhny Novgorod Stadium and we take a look at the game from a betting angle.
Let’s start with an outright betting update and with the quarter-final line ups now decided Brazil are the outright favourites at 5/2 ahead of France at 4/1 and England 9/2 with Belgium and Croatia both at 6/1 and you can get 16/1 Uruguay and 20/1 and better the balance. Other markets of interest include whether we will have a first time winner which is priced at 18/10 and Harry Kane is very short in the Golden Boot betting at 2/9 – click here for the outright betting markets.
Uruguay v France– click here to bet
Uruguay came through their group with a 100% record and having started with 1-0 victories over Egypt and Saudi Arabia they really turned it on in their final match beating Russia 3-0. They then started underdogs against European heavyweights Portugal but were impressive on the night winning 2-1 to book their spot in the last 8.
France topped their group on 7 points after 2 wins and a draw, the draw came in their final match against Denmark having beaten Peru and Australia by exactly 1 goal. They then played Argentina in what looked a tricky last 16 encounter but despite going behind 2-1 they came back to win a thrilling match 4-3.
These sides last met in a friendly International in 2013 with Uruguay winning 1-0 and the previous 4 matches between the sides all finished goalless and dated back to the World Cup in 2002.
Suggested bet: The draw at 43/20.
I was impressed by both of these sides in their last 16 matches and I don’t think there is going to be a lot to separate them in this quarter-final. We have reached the stage in the tournament where nerves start to play a role and where conservative strategies tend to dominate. Under 2.5 goals is as short as 9/20 and for me the value lies in the 90 minute draw at just over 2/1.
Note: Prices correct at the time of posting but are subject to change